Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
