Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
