Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
