Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 56.87%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 1-0 (7.41%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.