SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 56.87%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 1-0 (7.41%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 56.87% | 20.88% | 22.25% |
| Both teams to score 62.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.88% | 35.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.88% | 57.12% |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% | 12.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.9% | 38.1% |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% | 28.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 7.77% 1-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 6.76% 3-0 @ 5.42% 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.54% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 0.92% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.87% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-1 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.28% Total : 22.25% |
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