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NB
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
E

NAC Breda
4 - 1
SBV Excelsior

Haye (45+1'), El Yaakoubi (71' og.), Seuntjens (85'), de Rooij (87')
Velanas (19'), Haye (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duku (64')
Nieuwpoort (45+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawSBV Excelsior
50.96%22.86%26.18%
Both teams to score 60.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62%40.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.25%62.75%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01%15.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69%45.3%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.28%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 50.96%
    SBV Excelsior 26.18%
    Draw 22.86%
NAC BredaDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.61%
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-1 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 26.18%

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