Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
