Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
