Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Groningen in this match.
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