SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
42.93% ( -0.34) | 25.02% ( 0.08) | 32.05% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.29% ( -0.27) | 46.71% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% ( -0.25) | 68.97% ( 0.25) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( -0.27) | 21.75% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( -0.41) | 54.94% ( 0.41) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.03) | 27.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( 0.05) | 63.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.05% |
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