SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambuur in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Groningen |
43.65% ( 0.12) | 23.6% ( 0.38) | 32.75% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -2.04) | 39.83% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -2.15) | 62.19% ( 2.15) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( -0.77) | 18.58% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% ( -1.32) | 49.85% ( 1.32) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( -1.25) | 23.92% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( -1.83) | 58.14% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.75% |
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