Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
