Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.
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