Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Eindhoven | Draw | Roda JC |
41.56% ( 7.13) | 25.04% ( -0.33) | 33.41% ( -6.79) |
Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.65% ( 1.29) | 46.35% ( -1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( 1.2) | 68.63% ( -1.19) |
FC Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( 4.41) | 22.25% ( -4.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% ( 6.21) | 55.68% ( -6.2) |
Roda JC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -3.17) | 26.65% ( 3.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( -4.39) | 61.9% ( 4.4) |
Score Analysis |
FC Eindhoven | Draw | Roda JC |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.93) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 1.23) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.94) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.94) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -1.23) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.9) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -1.39) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.89) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.39) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.41% |
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