Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.23) 
