SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong Ajax |
57.88% ( 0.09) | 19.98% ( 0.01) | 22.14% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 65.77% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.19) | 30.8% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.84% ( -0.22) | 52.15% ( 0.22) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.32% ( -0.04) | 10.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.44% ( -0.08) | 34.56% ( 0.08) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.19) | 26.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( -0.25) | 61.51% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.88% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.98% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.14% |
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