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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportcomplex De Herdgang

Jong PSV
2 - 1
Helmond

Abed (39'), van den Heuvel (72')
Jimenez (57'), Abed (87'), Kuhn (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Amuzu (85')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 4-1 Jong PSV
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-0 Den Bosch
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSVDrawHelmond Sport
40.81% (-0.325 -0.32) 27.22% (0.195 0.2) 31.97% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)55.8% (0.712 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.588 -0.59)76.93% (0.584 0.58)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)26.86% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.672 -0.67)62.17% (0.667 0.67)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.279 -0.28)32.29% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.317 -0.32)68.79% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Jong PSV 40.81%
    Helmond Sport 31.97%
    Draw 27.21%
Jong PSVDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oss 4-1 Jong PSV
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-0 Telstar
Monday, August 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Oss 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 3-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-0 Den Bosch
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 4-1 Helmond
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 2-3 PEC Zwolle
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-1 Helmond
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-2 Helmond
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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