Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
Helmond Sport | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
22.27% ( 1.01) | 21.77% ( 0.6) | 55.95% ( -1.61) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( -1.5) | 39.34% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% ( -1.58) | 61.68% ( 1.58) |
Helmond Sport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( 0.06) | 31.1% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( 0.07) | 67.43% ( -0.07) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( -0.98) | 13.97% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.53% ( -1.97) | 41.47% ( 1.96) |
Score Analysis |
Helmond Sport | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.27% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.36% Total : 55.95% |
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