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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Braak
PZ

Helmond
2 - 3
PEC Zwolle

Kaars (20', 45')
Peeters (31'), Maddy (71'), Chacon (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thy (17', 57'), Zitman (90+5')
van Polen (30'), Caschili (71')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and PEC Zwolle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-1 Helmond
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-1 Roda JC
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
Helmond SportDrawPEC Zwolle
22.27% (1.012 1.01) 21.77% (0.596 0.6) 55.95% (-1.609 -1.61)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (-1.495 -1.5)39.34% (1.493 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-1.579 -1.58)61.68% (1.577 1.58)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.058000000000007 0.06)31.1% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.071999999999996 0.07)67.43% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)13.97% (0.98 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.53% (-1.965 -1.97)41.47% (1.964 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 22.27%
    PEC Zwolle 55.95%
    Draw 21.77%
Helmond SportDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.216 0.22)
1-0 @ 5.07% (0.354 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 22.27%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.355 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.297 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 8.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.45% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-3 @ 5.52% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-4 @ 2.72% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 55.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-1 Helmond
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-2 Helmond
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 0-1 Heracles
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 1-2 Helmond
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-1 Roda JC
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Monday, May 8 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 4-0 Dordrecht
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Telstar
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 4-2 PEC Zwolle
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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