SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Cambuur |
57.83% ( 1.27) | 22.29% ( 0.42) | 19.88% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -4.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( -4.15) | 44.87% ( 4.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( -4.13) | 67.23% ( 4.13) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% ( -1) | 15.24% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.09% ( -1.91) | 43.91% ( 1.91) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -4.02) | 36.54% ( 4.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% ( -4.28) | 73.32% ( 4.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 1.44) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.85% ( 1.06)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.47)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.28)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.94)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.56)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.88% |
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