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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
3 - 2
Helmond

Ntelo (10', 19', 76')
Ntelo (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goselink (36', 70')
Bosiers (41'), van der Meer (68')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Helmond Sport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawHelmond Sport
47.32%23.24%29.44%
Both teams to score 61.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26%39.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.9%62.1%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72%47.28%
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09%25.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1%60.9%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 47.32%
    Helmond Sport 29.44%
    Draw 23.24%
MVV MaastrichtDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 47.32%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-1 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.44%

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