Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
