SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 45%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | TOP Oss |
45% ( 0.13) | 25.81% ( -0.05) | 29.19% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.73% ( 0.17) | 51.27% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.9% ( 0.15) | 73.1% ( -0.15) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.14) | 22.73% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.6% ( 0.2) | 56.41% ( -0.2) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( 0.03) | 31.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( 0.04) | 68.4% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.19% |
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