SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | Willem II |
35.43% ( -0.23) | 25.51% ( 0.03) | 39.07% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.16) | 48.07% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( -0.15) | 70.23% ( 0.15) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( -0.21) | 26.27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( -0.28) | 61.38% ( 0.28) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( 0.03) | 24.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( 0.04) | 58.62% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.43% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.07% |
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