SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Jong Ajax | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | TOP Oss | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Almere City | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Willem II | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Jong Ajax | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | TOP Oss | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | Jong Ajax |
43.78% ( -0.08) | 23.65% ( 0.01) | 32.56% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.01) | 40.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% ( 0.01) | 62.54% ( -0.01) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.03) | 18.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -0.05) | 50% ( 0.05) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( 0.05) | 24.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( 0.07) | 58.53% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 43.78% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.56% |
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