Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
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