Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Almere City
26.52% ( -0.07)	24.56% ( 0.05)	48.92% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.64% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

-0.28)

47.68% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

-0.26)

69.88% (

0.26)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

-0.2)

32.1% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

-0.23)

68.57% (

0.23)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

-0.1)

19.54% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56% (

-0.17)

51.44% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 26.52%

Almere City 48.91%

Draw 24.55%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Almere City
1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.52%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 48.91%