SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 32.98% | 23.49% | 43.51% |
| Both teams to score 62.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% | 39.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% | 61.58% |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% | 23.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.44% | 57.55% |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% | 18.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.44% | 49.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.62% Total : 43.51% |
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