Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
