Jong Ajax
1 - 2
SBV Excelsior

Taylor (89' pen.)
Baas (40'), Fitz-Jim (48'), Warmerdam (61'), van Gelderen (86'), Regeer (90'), Gorter (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Yaakoubi (49'), Azarkan (76')
Baas (51'), Nieuwpoort (77'), Wieffer (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and SBV Excelsior.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	SBV Excelsior
41.94%	23.94%	34.11%

Both teams to score 61.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.91%

41.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.52%

63.47%

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16%

19.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07%

51.92%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26%

23.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12%

57.88%

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 41.94%

SBV Excelsior 34.11%

Draw 23.94%

Jong Ajax	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.1% Total : 41.94%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.11%