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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
1 - 2
Jong Ajax

Bronkhorst (48')
Vandermeulen (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Mieghem (42'), van Gelderen (59')
Fitz-Jim (45+5'), Douglas (68')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
43.91%22.63%33.46%
Both teams to score 65.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21%34.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.24%56.76%
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54%16.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84%46.16%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85%21.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46%54.01%
Score Analysis
    Telstar 43.91%
    Jong Ajax 33.46%
    Draw 22.63%
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 6.28%
2-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 33.46%

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