Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
