Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.36%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.