SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
31.03% ( -0.41) | 23.79% ( -0.13) | 45.18% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% ( 0.41) | 41.49% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( 0.41) | 63.89% ( -0.42) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.06) | 25.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( -0.07) | 60.7% ( 0.07) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.38) | 18.62% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( 0.64) | 49.91% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.03% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.18% |
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