SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
41.81% ( -0.53) | 24.31% ( -0.03) | 33.89% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( 0.29) | 42.86% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( 0.29) | 65.26% ( -0.29) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( -0.11) | 20.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% ( -0.18) | 53.21% ( 0.19) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 0.47) | 24.71% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( 0.65) | 59.25% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.89% |
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