Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
0.61) 
-0.85) 
