Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.02) 
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