Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Almere City in this match.
