Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.