SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 52.93% | 22.7% | 24.36% |
| Both teams to score 58.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% | 41.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% | 63.73% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% | 15.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.32% | 44.67% |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% | 30.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.36% | 66.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.93% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.36% |
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