Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
