Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.