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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
3 - 1
Den Bosch

Blummel (31'), Kostons (58'), Naudts (68')
Havekotte (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hornkamp (85')
Deijl (80')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Den Bosch.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDen Bosch
47.86%22.46%29.68%
Both teams to score 64.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18%35.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.11%57.89%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6%15.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78%44.22%
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 47.86%
    Den Bosch 29.68%
    Draw 22.46%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDen Bosch
2-1 @ 9.21%
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 4%
4-1 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 47.86%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-1 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.68%

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