Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
