Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.