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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
1 - 2
Jong PSV

Ntelo (40')
Essers (44'), Souren (45+1'), Blummel (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tielemans (51'), Bakayoko (77')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong PSV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong PSV
41.2%24.33%34.46%
Both teams to score 59.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.16%42.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.76%65.24%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09%20.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36%53.64%
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63%24.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 41.2%
    Jong PSV 34.46%
    Draw 24.32%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong PSV
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.46%

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