SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
45.01% ( -0.49) | 23.46% ( 0.04) | 31.53% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( 0.04) | 39.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( 0.04) | 62.02% ( -0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( -0.18) | 17.96% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( -0.31) | 48.8% ( 0.31) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( 0.3) | 24.56% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( 0.42) | 59.05% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.53% |
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