SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong PSV |
48.97% ( -0.06) | 22.05% ( 0.02) | 28.97% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.48% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.07) | 34.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.82% ( -0.07) | 56.18% ( 0.07) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.04) | 14.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.59% ( -0.08) | 42.41% ( 0.08) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.01) | 23.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.02) | 57.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.98% |
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