SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 38.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong PSV |
38.41% ( -0.02) | 23.19% ( 0) | 38.4% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.02) | 36.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.05% ( -0.02) | 58.95% ( 0.02) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -0.02) | 19.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( -0.03) | 51.55% ( 0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0) | 19.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( 0) | 51.55% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 2% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 38.4% |
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