Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.