Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
