SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Vitesse |
38.25% ( 0.01) | 22.96% ( -0) | 38.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( 0.01) | 35.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( 0.01) | 57.64% ( -0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0.01) | 19.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% ( 0.02) | 50.82% ( -0.02) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% | 18.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.6% ( -0) | 50.4% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.56% Total : 38.8% |
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