SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
39.56% ( 0.36) | 25.54% ( 0.11) | 34.89% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.57) | 48.32% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.52) | 70.46% ( 0.52) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.07) | 24.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -0.1) | 58.41% ( 0.1) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.54) | 26.7% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( -0.72) | 61.96% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.89% |
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