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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
47.46% ( -0.02) | 23.35% ( -0.04) | 29.19% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.86% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.25) | 40.41% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.25) | 62.79% ( -0.25) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( 0.09) | 17.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( 0.15) | 47.63% ( -0.15) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.16) | 26.41% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( 0.22) | 61.58% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 47.46% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.19% |
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