Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.3%) and 1-3 (5.08%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.