Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.